Seeing the System Beneath the Price:The Power of LPG Almanac Supply & Infrastructure Intelligence

Propane, butane, ethane, and pentanes, are discussed as commodities defined by price. In reality, they are defined first by basin, geography and infrastructure. It’s the management of the commodity inventory both at rest and in motion to serve customers. Before a barrel moves, market participants need to understand where supply is developing, where infrastructure exists, where capacity is changing, and where molecules can physically move. A molecule of NGL has no commercial value until it can be processed, transported, stored, and delivered to a buyer who needs it at a cost that makes the transaction worthwhile.

This is the essential insight behind Sulpetro's LPG Almanac: the price of LPG is the visible outcome of a complex physical supply system. A new gas plant, fractionator, storage facility, pipeline connection, rail terminal or export terminal can alter regional supply dynamics well before its impact becomes obvious in conventional market statistics. Market participants who understand where supply is developing, where capacity is changing, and where molecules are physically traveling see change before it appears in conventional statistics. Those who watch

only price discover the change after the advantage has already been captured by someone else.

This paper argues that infrastructure and supply intelligence is not a supplementary research tool for market analysts; it is the foundation of your competitive advantage.

Charlotte Kingsford